Basic recipe to have better performance in futur is to remove unwanted causes in past.
We design leading indicator system to report futur decrease/increase in performance.
Leading indicators are calculated with complicated formulae using match data.
Leading indicators "predict" futur.
Real Oviedo Club de Futbol (goal performance)
|Period||Goal_margin||Scored||Conceded||Total||Match #||Indicator (leading)|
@2014: Leading indicator overheated (>1.66 - average). Pointing a decrease in futur performance.
----> This is cause of futur results.
@2015: Goal margin average (0.64) same as of 2014 (0.63). No increase in goal margin (as a result of overheated leading indicator @2014). But still a decrease in goal_margin is expected (leading indicator..)
@2016: A sharp decrease in goal margin (-0.06) as a result of overheated leading indicator @2014
RECİPE: What we have to do to avoid or to smooth decrease periods ?
Instead of getting better results (because this may overheat leading indicator), team management must focus on "team design" to keep leading indicator @ low level.
A recipe example:
Replacement of some players with overheating indicators is needed.